Menu

WE HAVE MOVED TO GECKOCHART.COM (Join us there, It's FREE)

WE HAD MOVED TO GECKOCHART.COM. IN 2012, YOU WILL SEE MORE ADVANCE SIGNALS AT THE BLOG SITE

LIVE Chat - Stocks Signal Tips Board

9/7/11

July 11-15, TA for STI


Jul 11-15, TA for STI,

  • Trend - Side 
  • Momentum - OverBought
  • Resistance 1- 3180
  • Support 1 - 3120
  • Support 2 - 30006
  • Pattern - Upward Slope Channel Formation
  • Candlestick - NA

A very good run up for the past weeks and now all indices are near to their historical resistance level. Index will need to maintain along the 200D MA before all the 100D, 50D MA crossover. Else STI is still in the side trending. US - Q3 - Aug 2 announcement (see the news column at my blog) will impact on all indices - so I suspect indices should be trading near this resistance level. Any breakout will indicate a continuous upward trending. Just be prepare for this breakout strategy.

Jul 11-15, TA for NOL

News to read, (by JOC - 8 July 2011)

Negative News on Container Shipping Liners - Supply over Demand. 

http://www.joc.com/container-shipping/braemar-forecasts-record-boxship-capacity-growth


July 11-15, TA for NOL
  • Trend - Down
  • Momentum - Moderate 
  • Support - 1.45
  • Resistance - 1.55
  • Volume - below average
  • Candlestick - black hammer (bullish) + doji (indecisive)

Just to take, in my last blog on NOL - it is a discount NAV. At least, it shows give some basic investment value. As the TA signal is weak, price is resisting along the 20D MA + within the trading range of Support/Resistance. 

8/7/11

Jul 11-15, FA/TA for DBS

 A request from "Michael"

July 11, FA for DBS

Using Simple FA Entry,
  • NAV - 11.61 (not a discounted NAV)
  • PE - 21x (not a good entry) 
  • Yield - 3.7% (average yield)

In short, if you are using simple FA, it shows that it's not a value investing.

Using Intermediate Valuation Methods,
  • DDM - 16.8 (similar to Analysts estimation at 6% return rate)
  • Graham Valuation - 11.11-13.5 (means current price is over-valuation.)

Using EV/EBITDA vs PE entry,
  • Using the Formula, EV/EBITDA is at 8x, whereas PE is at 21x. (it means SELL signal).  

In conclusion, DBS is not a value investing. At the moment, it is good to use TA as your entry. 



July 11-15, TA for DBS


  • Trend - Up
  • Momentum - Overbought
  • Support - 13.99
  • Resistance 1- 14.65
  • Resistance 2 - 14.95
  • Volume - slightly below average
  • Candlestick - doji 

If you look at DBS chart, you can see that the channel upward slope formation. But currently, it is resistance at the 14.95 line. Entry when it hits below the lower channel slope line.

6/7/11

Jul 7, FA/TA for TiongWoon

A request from "AA"

How well it manage its equipment rental?
Total 19 vessels on Heavy Lifts 68% rented and Marine fleet 52% rented.


What is the estimated outcome of FY 2011 result?
- From the quarterly results, it will hit approximately Revenue of 100millions or approximately 20% below FY2010. (very poor result)
- From Profit before Tax, it will hit a 15-20% of FY2010 result. (very poor result)

* From Accounting standpoint, Fundamentally shows that Revenue/Profit is deteriorating.


Is it a value investing?
Using the EV/EBITBA : PE, 1.35 < 5% ( means Overvalue stock)


From simplistic value investing standpoint,

  • - NAV - 0.60 (according to Graham - 0.66 of NAV - PASSED the test)
  • - Yield - 6% (according to Graham - above infaltion - PASSED the test)
  • - PE - 5 (according to Graham - below < 8 - PASSED the test)

From Graham Investment standpoint, it passed the test of value investing.


July 7, TA for TiongWoon, (weekly chart)


  • Trend - Down
  • Momentum - Oversold (stochastic signal)
  • Support - 0.31
  • Resistance - 0.395
  • Volume - Low
  • Candlestick - NA
As I mentioned before, TA indicators for low volatility and low price might be not effective. So I suggest that you using the classic Support / Resistance as your reference. From TA, it is downtrending and will likely to break 0.31. 

In conclusion, FA + TA just simply indicate that it will break through below 0.31 and meet the new support line at 0.22. If you understand this industry, personally, this TiongWoon has value investing standpoint but the horizon has to be at least 2-3 years. Today, the TA timing shows it has potential to go down further. So be patience and wait for the right TA signal for entry. 

5/7/11

July 5-8, TA for OCBC


TA for OCBC,

Trend - Side
Momentum - Overbought
Resistance - 9.60
Support - 9.00
Volume - Above Average (bullish signal)
Candlestick - 3x white soldiers (bullish signal)

OCBC is moving up strongly with good volume, it will be testing the famous resistance line 9.60 (6th times), if a breakout happens, then a good news, it will move higher. Another Watch out Counter.

Jul 5-8, TA for Wilmar


TA for Wilmar,

  • Trend - Side (Trending along 100D and a flat MACD line)
  • Momentum - Overbought
  • Support - 5.25
  • Resistance - 5.50
  • Volume - below average (it needs high volume for a breakout)
  • Candlestick - doji

Wilma is now testing again the 5.50 resistance line for the 6th times, this is an important psychological resistance. For a breakout, above average volume is needed (at the moment, it lacks of that volume push). Do watch out for the volume to break resistance.

July 5-8, TA for Golden Agri

TA for GoldenAgri,

  • Trend - Flat
  • Momentum - upward slope into Overbought
  • Support - 0.645
  • Resistance - 0.705
  • Candlestick - NA
  • Volume - Below Average
  • Pattern - Symmetrical Triangle (high probability - a breakout (upward) will happen)
Golden Agri is stuck and trading into a narrow band (forming a symmetrical Triangle) with decreasing volume (means - Bear is losing steam). A possible breakout might happen soon.